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AAM's Gilbert defies world view to call time on credit crunch



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Published Date: 02 July 2008
ONE of Scotland's highest profile fund management figures has called an end to the credit crunch, a rare positive voice for the sector.
Martin Gilbert, the founder and chief executive of Aberdeen Asset Management (AAM), told the Fund Forum 2008 conference in Barcelona that the financial sector could "muddle through" the remainder of the credit crunch.

"I think we're almost over (t
he crisis] ... I think there are a lot of things that will still go wrong but we'll muddle through. We're back to what I'd term normal banking," he said.

AAM does not appear to be afraid of taking positions against the market trend, massively increasing its exposure to commercial property earlier this year with the £130 million acquisition of Goodman Property Investors.

Gilbert added that while a short-term rebound was unlikely, he believed the worst impact on financial shares was over. "We've had an unbelievably bad bear market already in most stocks... I think the worst is over in most stocks... I think everyone is so negative that I tend to be more positive."

This year London-based hedge fund Toscafund has built its stake in AAM to more than 25 per cent, claiming the share has been sold "indiscriminantly". Not everyone is convinced AAM shares will not fall further, however, with Evolution Securities issuing a "sell" note on the stock yesterday.

But despite falling share prices, AAM is expecting net asset flows to be, at worst, flat for the year to 30 September.

AAM had assets under management of £107.3 billion as of 31 March.



The full article contains 270 words and appears in The Scotsman newspaper.
Page 1 of 1

 
1

Glasgow Expat,

Desert 02/07/2008 06:22:59
Well, denial is not only a river in Africa. http://www.usagold.com/gildedopinion/prognost.html
2

McMillar,

London 02/07/2008 10:06:21
Good positive sentiment from someone at the heart of finance world. AAM have had their troubles over the last few years but Gilbert has always come through and surged ahead when the tide turns.
3

Glasgow Expat,

Desert 02/07/2008 10:26:16
McMillar. What?? This is the guy who said in relation to why the split capital trusts blew up in the last bear market of 2000/2002 "The markets fell further than we expected and further than anyone expected," "This [the current state of affairs] is caused by a prolonged bear market." So he has a good track record of calling bottoms in markets then. Gilbert is a fund manager whose business relies on markets not entering into a Japan style deflation. Come on, what else is he going to say. Dow 4,000.
4

Glasgow Expat,

Desert 02/07/2008 10:33:47
Bull markets ride a wall of worry. Bear markets go down a slope of hope. What Gilbert is saying is that he "hopes" it is over.

 

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