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Interest rates slashed to record low of 1%

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Business secretary Peter Mandelson on the interest rate decision
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Published Date: 05 February 2009
THE Bank of England sent interest rates tumbling further to a new historic low of 1% today.
Rate-setters cut borrowing costs from 1.5% – the lowest since the Bank was founded in 1694 – as they attempt to combat a worsening downturn.

Today's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) decision – the first since the UK's recession was officially confirmed – continues the record-breaking run for lower rates.

It also follows International Monetary Fund (IMF) predictions that Britain will suffer more than any other advanced nation in the worst global recession since the Second World War.

The Bank has cut interest rates dramatically – from 5% last October – as it tries to offer relief to borrowers and businesses.

But the rate reductions have been a savage blow to savers, and many mortgage customers have been warned not to expect lenders to pass on the cut in full.

In a statement accompanying the decision, the Bank said the global economy was in the throes of "a severe and synchronised downturn".

"Business and household sentiment in many countries has deteriorated. The weakness of the global banking and financial system means that the supply of credit remains constrained...

"Credit conditions faced by companies and households have tightened further. The underlying picture for consumer spending appears weak," it said.

The Bank said previous rate cuts would eventually have a "significant impact" on aiding the economy, alongside the current weakness of the pound.

But until these feed through, there is "a substantial risk" of undershooting its 2% inflation target with interest rates at 1.5%, it said.

The decision comes amid rising unemployment totals, with thousands of jobs being shed across the UK each week. January's figures showed jobless totals jumped by 131,000 in the three months to November to 1.92 million, the highest figure for more than a decade.

The rate cut was welcomed by business groups, which have campaigned for ever lower borrowing costs to stimulate lending.

Ian McCafferty, chief economic adviser to the CBI business group, said: "This drop in rates should support business confidence and, when added to recent cuts of the past couple of months and the fall in the pound, provides a very significant stimulus to the ailing economy.

"But at these very low levels of interest rates, and with the credit mechanism still impaired, it is vital that the Bank swiftly supplements today's move with direct intervention in the corporate lending markets."

But this week the Building Societies Association (BSA) urged the Bank to leave rates unchanged over fears that another cut would further hit savers, who have seen returns dive 75% in recent months.

The majority of banks and building societies have slashed savings rates, by up to one percentage point in some cases, although many have failed to pass on the proceeds of January's cut to 1.5% to borrowers on their standard variable rates (SVR).

There is better news for the majority of customers with tracker mortgages, as these will automatically fall in line with the cut today.

Around 300,000 customers with these deals will not benefit from the cut, as so-called collars have already kicked in on their loans, so the rate they pay cannot fall any further.

As rates edge closer to zero, economists predict the Bank will resort to more unorthodox measures in coming months to combat the UK recession.
The Institute of Directors' chief economist, Graeme Leach, said: "The half-point cut means we're getting close to the last hurrah for interest rates."

The Government's second bank rescue plan included a new £50 billion fund created for the Bank to use to buy up private sector assets to free up lending and kick-start the economy.

The MPC could also ask for powers to tap into the fund as it strives to combat deflation.

This has raised the prospect of so-called quantitative easing – increasing the supply of money in the economy to buy assets from banks.

Although the Bank's new powers do not yet extend to quantitative easing, governor Mervyn King has said that policymakers might need to use "unconventional" methods to bring inflation back in line with the 2% target.

The official measure of inflation, the Consumer Prices Index (CPI), plunged by the biggest amount since records began in December, down from 4.1% to 3.1%. It is set to fall even further below target as recession bites and demand falls.

Notes from the MPC's previous meeting showed members considered leaving rates unchanged in January amid fears about the fall in the value of sterling and to allow previous measures to take effect.

But analysts believe recent news that the economy shrank by a shock 1.5% in the fourth quarter of last year – the biggest contraction in almost 30 years – left rate-cutters with little option but to cut rates again.

Policymakers also had access to the latest inflation forecasts, due to be published next week, which could have affected their decision.

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1

A Friend of Fernando Poo,

05/02/2009 13:15:58
Everything seems geared towards helping the debtors who got us into this mess in the first place.

If rates are so low that it isn't worth savers keeping their cash in British banks, it won't help them lend if they all move their money abroad.
2

Jambo-ree,

05/02/2009 14:28:06
I just don't get it. These people must know that the number of savers in the UK outstrips the number of borrowers several times over. This cut is supposed to be aimed at helping to stimulate the economy. How can it do that when the vast majority are having their income steadily whittled down to zero and the banks refuse to thaw the freeze on their lending?

As is probably fairly obvious I rely on my savings to generate income to supplement my pension and am truly brassed off at suffering lower income due the prats (private and corporate) who got us into this mess by overstretching themselves. To hell with the lot of them.
3

John Blackley,

Florida 05/02/2009 14:40:57
The BoE can cut its interest rates to a minus number and that still won't persuade the High Street banks to increase their lending. After all, how can those banks continue to pay their obscene bonuses if they lend out all the money the public has donated?

I wait, with bated breath, to see if this government will wake up to the idea that - rather than shovelling money into the pockets of a corrupt and incompetent banking sector - they would be better off putting the money into infrastructure projects. Lord knows, Britain could use the upgrade and the added employment (allowing, of course, that cut-rate Italian contractors could be kept away) would do much more to benefit the struggling British unemployed.
4

john birkett,

St Andrews 05/02/2009 15:43:27
Fatuous and unfair. Excess borrowing caused the shambles we are in. Private borrowers have already had more than enough help; savers nothing at all. Will businesses that were reluctant to or could not borrow based on 1.5%+, now go on an investment spending spree financed by new loans at 1.0%+? I don't think so. Lending will not recover, certainly not between banks, until all the banks come clean about the extent of their toxic assets, write them off, and can start again with a clean sheet, or go out of business; because no-one yet knows where the securitisation pass-the-parcel has ended up. Only then can some confidence begin to come back into the system. We are still fiddling while the economy burns.
5

Griffe,

05/02/2009 16:23:37
What has this achieved? A reduction in income on savings and no reductions in interest charged on borrowings if lenders choose not to pass lower interest rates on. Brown & his cronies have totally lost the plot.
6

Eric D,

05/02/2009 16:58:51
This decision makes a mockery of the claim that the BOE MPC are independent, when the CPI is currently sitting at 3.1% and the target is 2%.

Given that these people are hired,fired and paid by the treasury only the naive can believe these decisions are made independent of the government,who we all know want to stoke up the property / financial markets again in time for next years election.

Unfortunately the prudent ,responsible people are paying the price nulabs boom-and-bust policies.
7

Tris,

05/02/2009 17:05:16
So Brown, what are you going to do to help the savers, particularly the elderly ones?

Nothing?

You decimated their pensions and now you have decimated their savings income. And the value of what they prudently put away to stop them being a burden on the state when they got older is disappearing. Food and fuel inflation is far higher than the 3% you claim it to be. If they leave their money in the bank, it will soon buy nothing.

Would it suit your purpose best if pensioners all agreed to die at 65 so you wouldn't have to pay out anything at all?

The most awful government in the history of the UK and singularly the most pathetic and ill-suited-to-the-job Prime Minister in the world. Ever.

8

Ewan Oosami,

05/02/2009 17:41:11
They ought to increase the interest rate to at least 10% then people might stop living beyond their means in houses that are overpriced. This current elastoplast won't work. It might also help those less frivolous with their money who have saved instead of spent what they haven't got
9

brownlie,

05/02/2009 18:29:03
8 Tris

The answer to your question in your pen-ultimate paragraph would probably be yes.

 

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