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Energy price hikes push inflation to new record

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Published Date: 14 October 2008
Inflation soared to a new record in September after gas and electricity price hikes, official figures showed today.
The Consumer Prices Index (CPI) reached 5.2% last month – the highest CPI reading since 1997 and a 16-year historical inflation peak.

But the Government also faces paying out billions more in benefits and pensions after the headline Retail Prices Index (RPI) reached 5%.

September's RPI – which was last higher in July 1991 – is commonly used by the Government to calculate pension increases for the coming year.

Pensions usually increase by 2.5% or headline RPI, whichever is higher.
The headline RPI, less costs such as rent, council tax and mortgage interest payments, is also used to calculate increases in benefits such as Jobseeker's Allowance and income support under the Rossi Index.

Today's CPI figures are likely to mark an inflation peak as policymakers on the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) – who cut rates by 0.5% last week – turn their attention towards avoiding a severe recession following the current financial turmoil.

But the data will also serve as warning of a residual inflation threat for MPC, which did not have access to the figures before cutting rates last Wednesday.

Following the price hikes for gas and electricity – and an earlier round of increases in January – electricity prices are up 30.3% year on year, with gas costs up almost 50%.

The annual rate of inflation for energy and other household bills reached 15% – the highest since 1989, while price rises for clothing, footwear, toys and games added to the pressure.

But there was some better news for inflation watchers as food inflation slowed for the first time since March, largely due to unchanged milk prices last month compared with a 4p rise a year earlier. Meat prices however continued to rise, with bacon almost 20% dearer than a year earlier.

As crude oil prices fall, the average price of petrol also fell by an average 1.7p a litre between August and September, compared with a smaller decline a year earlier.

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  • Last Updated: 14 October 2008 12:36 PM
  • Source: The Scotsman
  • Location: Edinburgh
  • Related Topics: Inflation , Credit Crunch
 
1

Guga II,

Rockall 14/10/2008 12:07:24
#1 fresian.

You are missing something, greed. The same greed that has ensured that diesel prices in the Western Isles still remain at 134.9 a litre.
2

The Former Mr. Angry,

Perth 14/10/2008 12:16:01
It's the same kind of greed and short-termism which has brought the banks to their knees. This idea that the consumer can be ripped off at any opportunity, lied to (energy prices follow oil price) cheated (sell-off of British Energy to France so Broon can grab another 4.5 £bn) and be expected to come back smiling and pay all the bills. The sad thing is most of us consumers do just that instead of making their views known.

There's a come-uppance here and it may well be the recession will force energy companies to reduce prices before they too become history.
3

John south of Soutra,

14/10/2008 12:53:43
Fresian as #2 has said, the something is greed and the energy and oil are continuing to rip of the public whilst the Great Gordo and his assistant Darling do nothing about it, of course the current headlines all help to keep fuel & energy prices off the front pages.
Thatcher started war to get relected is this Gordo's Falkland's moment
4

Big Eddie,

Edinburgh 14/10/2008 13:24:17
Guga - how much is a litre of diesel on Rockall these days? Last time I was there, you couldn't get it for love nor money :)
5

ultravires,

Edinburgh 14/10/2008 13:49:28
Broon could always nationalise the power companies again and give us a break on energy prices. He must have about what, 50p left after rescuing the banks surely ?
6

WSS,

sandbach 14/10/2008 14:24:54
Pensioners and other poor groups will be delighted to know that one of the factors which kept inflation lower than it would otherwise have been, was the cost of private school fees are lower than last year. This is in the Gov. press release explaining this month's atrocious figures. Am I alone in thinking that the statistics produced by Government agencies are a "big con job".
7

crashtestmonkey,

Edinburgh 14/10/2008 14:31:26
I got a letter from Scottish Hydro yesterday pleading poverty due to wholesale price increases. Gas gone up by 29%, electricity by 19%.

I don't quite understand how. Gas wholesale prices have actually crashed. Gas storage in UK is woefully inadequate. That's why prices increase over winter because extra demand cannot be met from capacity. New gas pipeline from Norway has recently come online causing an excess of gas. Wholesalers actually had to give gas away at 0p per therm!

Oil is now $80 a barrel or a third less than it was three months ago. Petrol at the pump has only dropped by about 10p a litre. I don't remember prices taking two to three months to increase when price per barrel spiralled so one would have thought prices would come down at the same rate. Dream on.

So where is ofgem in all this? Taking a nap like the FSA?
8

The Federalist (the poster formerly know as NAUON),

14/10/2008 16:12:48
There is a time lag so it will take time for the fall in oil and gas prices to filter through to the CPI. The CPI should fall not only when this happens but also when retailers start to cut prices to compete in the downturn.
9

The Federalist (the poster formerly know as NAUON),

14/10/2008 16:14:27
#8 The figures are alaways argued about. For example, many economists argue that they should include house prices - but they don't. If house prices were included then inflation would be a lot lower (and higher in the property boom times).
10

mike3,

Midlands 14/10/2008 16:25:23
#1 A falling pound for one. Oil is priced in dollars.
11

WSS,

sandbach 14/10/2008 16:58:36
no.11 Perhaps that's what is wrong with figures they are made up by economists. Inflation means different things for different groups so there needs to be several different figures depending on your circumstances. I am at a loss to see how private school fees are included(covering less than 10% of pop.)
12

David MacVicar,

web 14/10/2008 17:02:05
It is very simple for Scottish consumers to have lower energy prices - Fiscal and Energy independence from the UK. This wholesale Gas price hike is a half truth, something the likes of sm753 do not want to give the full story about:

There are lies, damned lies and UK Energy statistics.

Wholesale gas prices are linked to IMPORTED GAS and oil only NOT domestic production. Most UK imported gas comes from Norway. At the end of August a leak in the gas pipeline from Norway caused a 15% rise in one day.

Centrica produced a report on UK gas market and the very first paragraph of the summary states:
"The main conclusions of this report are:
Due to falling domestic gas production, the UK will have an increasing need for imports from gas markets in Europe and Asia which have direct linkage to oil in their gas prices. This will introduce a global component to UK gas supply.
Due to the increasing oil price the cost of attracting this gas away from other markets will be linked to oil prices resulting in increasing wholesale gas prices and volatility.
The increase in wholesale gas prices will feed through to industrial and domestic gas costs resulting in higher energy bills for end users"

http://www.centrica.
co.uk/files/pdf/1807
08_influence_of_oil.
pdf

SCOTLAND PRODUCES 6 TIMES MORE GAS THAN WE CONSUME AND SCOTTISH GAS PRODUCTION IS NOT DECLINING AND HAS NOT EVEN REACHED PEAK YET.

Everyone in Scotland is paying through the nose for gas prices not because the free market but because of uk imports of gas, primarily from Norway to England. Scotland has enough gas to avoid wholesale markets for SEVERAL decades.

So please, lets have less p;sh about UK (ie English)import problems and more action to ensure Scottish consumers are not paying thorough the nose propping up English consumers, we need a level playing field.

Why are we in Scotland paying for the high price of English gas and oil imports?
13

Raymond Thomas Brooke,

Leven England 14/10/2008 17:21:18
# 4 John southofvsoutra
Mrs Thatcher did not start the war in the Falklands
The Argentines started it by invading British territory and preventing BRITISH citizens going about their normal lives.As far as GB and AD are concerned their postions are completley irretrievable
14

Raymond Thomas Brooke,

Leven England 14/10/2008 17:25:15
#14 David MacVicar

Explain to me again why you get more from English Taxes than the English do or can you not see that through your tartyan coloured glasses.
15

,

14/10/2008 17:53:00
Comment Removed By Administrator
Reason:
16

David MacVicar,

web 14/10/2008 17:57:29
Raymond Thomas Brooke,
Sorry to burst your bubble Raymond, I post verifiable facts not answers to petulant baseless statements from posters who trumpet Britishness in one post then post vacuous claims that English taxes are propping up Scottish Residents the next.
Given your lack of any evidence at least try for some consistency please.

p.s. Under thatcher the UK pulled out its military protection of the Falklands, including HMS Endurance, leaving them exposed PRIOR to the Argentinian exploitation of what they thought was UK reticence to protect the islands. Thatcher, realised her mistake after it was too late for the Falklands but it saved her position as PM and allowed her the continued rape of Northern Englands and Scotlands industry. What a gal!
17

crashtestmonkey,

Edinburgh 14/10/2008 18:01:01
How about moving to the Falklands?

http://www.malvinasonline.com.ar/notas/nota.php?recordID=280

18

David MacVicar,

web 14/10/2008 18:07:42
Raymond Thomas Brooke. It is a common tactic to avoid responding to the content of a post when the responder has absolutely nothing of substance to contradict a post they don't like. Your post 16 is a classic example, whereas 15 is a valid argument. If you have anything of value to add about the content of my post then please share. ;)
19

Raymond Thomas Brooke,

Leven England 14/10/2008 18:39:09
20 David MacVicar
It is also true that those who seek to force their arguments on others fail to look at the fact for both sides of any argument

 

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