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King's stark warning to banks: we won't step in if risk goes wrong

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Published Date: 11 June 2008
MERVYN King yesterday warned Britain's banks that they could no longer count on the Bank of England coming to their rescue if they founder on the back of ever-more risky quests for profit.
The Governor of the Bank's hard-hitting intervention came as Stephen Green, the chairman of HSBC, declared "the end" of the high leverage business model for banks.

The blunt dual warnings were delivered at the annual meeting of the British Bankers
' Association in London yesterday.

Using unusually colourful language, King spelled out the Bank's tough approach in the wake of the credit crunch and the collapse of Northern Rock.

The Governor said the financial system was going through "the most prolonged period of financial turmoil that most of us can remember" before adding: "The crisis is not yet over."

He singled out the way some financial institutions had become incentivised to take on risks that could cause "significant damage to the rest of the economy... Because the authorities will face an incentive to step in to rescue banks tomorrow, there is an incentive for banks to take more risk today".

King said that incentives to monitor risk-taking have been sharply reduced over many decades.

He added: "It is often said that the role of a central banker is to take the punch bowl away just as the party is getting going. That approach has served us well in monetary policy.

"But all those efforts will come to naught if the opposite applies to the financial sector.

"If banks feel they must keep on dancing while the music is playing and that at the end of the party the central bank will make sure everyone gets home safely, then over time the parties will become wilder and wilder."

His remarks will be seen as a direct attack on the aggressive lending culture led by the likes of Citigroup chief executive Charles "Chuck" Price and followed by some in the UK. Just before the global credit crisis last August, Price boldly declared: "As long as the music is playing, you've got to get up and dance. We're still dancing".

King's remarks were underlined by comments from Green, one of the UK's most respected bankers.

He told the conference that the industry needed to get "back to basics" – focusing on attracting retail deposits instead of excessive borrowing to fund business growth and he

added: "We are seeing a profound shift in banking models.

"The huge build-up of leverage in the system in the last five years … which stretched balance sheets, and with profits dependent on high and increased leverage ... that model has gone.

"It is not just the end of a bubble, it's the end of a business model."



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  • Last Updated: 10 June 2008 9:36 PM
  • Source: The Scotsman
  • Location: Edinburgh
 
1

Mallory,

Edinburgh 11/06/2008 07:04:01
How much public money / taxes has already been handed over to bail out these people from their irresponsible gambles and the scramble to secure bonuses?

Does anyone really think that bank bosses won't press again for better results or that the government wouldn't once again step in prevent future collapses?
2

Evan Owen,

Snowdonia 11/06/2008 07:15:17
"End of a business model"??

Wasn't much of a model was it? And the government wants these people to deliver financial products and financial capability! Whatever that is...
3

The Strategist,

11/06/2008 13:18:23
There is no such thing as a "respected banker"..

Bankers should be despised for the damage they've done to the economy.
4

A Friend of Fernando Poo,

11/06/2008 13:44:12
They should have taken this line with Northern Rock and Bear Stearns and let them go to the wall. That would have concentrated the minds of the other useless bankers.

Securitisation is dead as a banking model unless there's a requirement for originators to also be on the hook for some losses if CDOs and the like go bad.
Bankers in the past always knew that players had to have skin in the game to have an incentive to behave reasonably.

Leverage brings its own risks, magnifying losses as well as profits. Those who will require a taxpayer bailout must be prevented from using high leverage. Only those who will accept that they will pay if things go wrong should be playing that game.

The basic risk of modern banking, which undermines confidence and produces bank runs when things go wrong, is fractional reserve banking. It could be time to take another look at that.

Finally there's the risk foisted on bankers and all of us by politicians through continuation of a fiat currency. It's worth considering whether the credit bubble could have been blown quite so gigantic if we'd had currencies based on gold or other commodities.

The easiest way to prevent a rerun of either hyperinflations or bubbles would be to accept that fiat currencies are dangerous and return to using real money.
5

The Strategist,

11/06/2008 14:50:31
We need to adopt the German social market model and dump the so called Anglo Saxon model. It's the only way that we can drive greed out of the system and bring back some patriotism.

 

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